Gold price prediction today: Will gold trade cautiously? Check October 14, 2026 outlook - The Times of India

AI desk brief

Gold is trading cautiously around $4,160/oz after rebounding from last week’s $4,066.54 low and briefly topping $4,200, but the rally is stalling as the dollar index holds near an 18-month high at 102.20 and the US 10-year yield stays above 5%. Silver is consolidating near $59-60/oz after failing to hold above $61, while MCX gold has slipped to about Rs 1,49,860 after last week’s Rs 1,51,499 close.

The near-term focus is today’s US September CPI, with PPI and import prices later in the week and Fed commentary from Kevin Warsh at the IMF meeting. A soft CPI or dovish signal could lift gold toward $4,220-$4,310, while a hot print or hawkish surprise risks a move back to $4,070-$4,000; Bank of America sees Q4 gold averaging $4,000 with a potential low near $3,750. ETF demand remains a key offset, with global gold ETFs taking in about $10bn in September and a record $31bn in Q3, lifting total holdings to a record 4,256 tonnes.